The recent Nato summit has shed light on the true source of Donald Trump's power, and it's not what you might expect. While many focus on his presidency of the most powerful nation on Earth, his influence stems from a far more insidious and unconventional source: his willingness to break all the rules and norms that govern how a US president should act. This non-ethical, amoral approach has granted him an unprecedented level of deference from world leaders, who fear his unpredictable and aggressive behavior.
Trump's power doesn't come from his strategic brilliance or his base's unwavering support. Instead, it arises from his ability to exploit the asymmetry between the costs of breaking norms and the benefits of doing so. By shattering established standards, he gains wealth, power, and glory, while leaving others to deal with the consequences. This dynamic is particularly evident in his interactions with Nato allies, where his demands and threats have been met with deference due to the fear of his potential actions.
What makes Trump's power so fascinating is the way he challenges our understanding of ethics and morality. He doesn't adhere to any agreed-upon standards, and his actions are driven solely by his desire to win at all costs. This raises a deeper question: How do we, as a global community, navigate a world where norms and rules are constantly being broken, and where the only test is what's in it for me and at what cost?
Trump's presidency has damaged institutions like Nato, Fifa, and the US Department of Justice, which were built on the trust that no American president would ever act in such a manner. His actions have forced the world to reevaluate its assumptions and prepare for a future where norms are constantly being challenged.
In my opinion, Trump's power lies in his ability to exploit the asymmetry between the costs and benefits of breaking norms. This dynamic has allowed him to gain unprecedented influence, but it also raises concerns about the future of global institutions and the stability of international relations. As we move forward, it's crucial to recognize the impact of his actions and work towards building a more resilient and ethical global community.